Гражданская война в Сирии ( в большей степени про дипломатию )

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Предмет: Международные отношения
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Introduction – page 4

CHAPTER 1: Historical Background – page 5
Sub-chapters – pages 5-11
1.1. Pre-war Syria: Political, Social, and Economic Conditions – pages 5-6
1.2. The Arab Spring and its Influence on Syria – pages 6-8
1.3. Initial Protests and Government Response – pages 8-11

CHAPTER 2: International Involvement – page 11
Sub-chapters – pages 11-25
2.1. Russia’s Role and Interests – pages 11-14
2.2. U.S. and Western Countries' Involvement – pages 14-18
2.3. Regional Powers: Iran, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia – pages 18-21
2.4. United Nations and Humanitarian Organizations – pages 21-25

CHAPTER 3: Key Phases and Turning Points of the Conflict – page 25
Sub-chapters – pages 25-35
3.1. The Emergence and Response to ISIS (2011-2016) – pages 25-28
3.2. Evolving Diplomatic Strategies and Current State (2017-2024) – pages 28-31
3.3. Prospects for Peace and Reconstruction – pages 31-35

BIBLIOGRAPHY – pages 35-37
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In conclusion, it is difficult to overestimate the role of the UN and humanitarian organizations in the Syrian conflict. Despite all the difficulties and limitations, these organizations remain the main hope for millions of Syrians affected by the war. Their tireless efforts not only save lives and alleviate suffering, but also support the prospect of a peaceful and stable future for Syria. At the same time, the experience of working in the Syrian crisis highlights the need to reform and strengthen the mechanisms of international humanitarian response and peacekeeping in the face of modern complex conflicts.CHAPTER 3: Key Phases and Turning Points of the Conflict 3.1. The Emergence and Response to ISIS (2011-2016)The emergence of and response to ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, a terrorist organization banned in Russia) between 2011 and 2016 is a complex and multifaceted process that has had profound implications for diplomatic relations in the Middle East and around the world. This period was characterized by the rapid growth of ISIS's influence, which led to an unprecedented mobilization of the international community to counter this threat.ISIS's origins can be traced back to the early 2000s, when the organization existed as an al-Qaeda cell in Iraq. However, it was the chaos caused by the civil war in Syria that began in 2011 that created favorable conditions for its rapid growth and transformation. The weakening of state institutions in Syria and Iraq, sectarian tensions, and general instability in the region allowed ISIS to rapidly expand its influence.In a diplomatic context, the initial response of the international community to the rise of ISIS was relatively slow. Many countries, especially Western powers, were focused on supporting the moderate opposition to Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria and were slow to recognize the scale of the threat posed by ISIS. This was partly due to the complexity of the situation on the ground, with various groups frequently shifting alliances and ideological positions.The turning point came in 2014, when ISIS captured large swathes of territory in Iraq and Syria, including major cities such as Mosul, and declared a "caliphate." This sent shock waves through the international community and led to a rapid mobilization of diplomatic efforts to counter the threat.The United States took a leading role in forming an international coalition to combat ISIS. President Barack Obama initiated a series of diplomatic meetings and negotiations to create a broad coalition that eventually included more than 60 countries. The coalition was unique in that it brought together countries with diverse, often conflicting, interests in the region, including Western powers, Arab states, and Turkey. Diplomatic efforts focused on several key areas:Coordinating military action against ISIS.Stopping the financial flows that support the group.Countering ISIS propaganda and preventing radicalization.Addressing humanitarian problems caused by the conflict.One of the most challenging aspects of diplomatic work was coordinating the actions of different countries with their own interests in the region. For example, Turkey, while a NATO member and an important ally in the fight against ISIS, was also concerned about the rise of Kurdish groups that played a key role in ground operations against ISIS in Syria.Russia’s role in countering ISIS also presented a diplomatic challenge. Although Russia shared the goal of fighting terrorism, its support for the Assad regime created tensions with Western countries. However, the ISIS threat created the basis for limited cooperation between Russia and the West, despite disagreements on other aspects of the Syrian conflict.An important area of ​​diplomatic efforts was work within the UN. The UN Security Council has adopted a number of resolutions aimed at combating ISIS, including Resolution 2170 (2014), which condemned the group’s actions and called for international sanctions against its leaders. These resolutions have provided a legal basis for the international community to act against ISIS. Diplomacy has played a key role in addressing the humanitarian challenges posed by the conflict. International donor conferences have been organized to raise funds to help refugees and internally displaced persons. Diplomatic efforts have also been aimed at ensuring humanitarian access to ISIS-controlled areas.Particular attention was paid to diplomatic efforts to prevent the influx of foreign fighters to join ISIS. This included increasing international security cooperation, intelligence sharing, and tightening border controls. Efforts were made to improve coordination between law enforcement agencies across borders to identify and prevent radicalization.The diplomatic response to ISIS also included efforts to counter its propaganda. International platforms were created to develop and disseminate counter-narratives aimed at undermining ISIS ideology. This work required close cooperation between governments, technology companies, and civil society.By 2016, international efforts were beginning to bear fruit. ISIS’s territory had begun to shrink, and its financial and human resources were depleted. However, diplomatic challenges remained significant. Post-war reconstruction, reintegration of former fighters, and preventing the resurgence of extremist ideology required sustained diplomatic efforts.The experience of fighting ISIS highlighted the importance of multilateral diplomacy in addressing complex global challenges. It also highlighted the need for more flexible and adaptive diplomatic approaches that can respond quickly to evolving security threats. In conclusion, the diplomatic response to ISIS between 2011 and 2016 represented an unprecedented example of international cooperation in countering a global terrorist threat. Despite complexities and contradictions, the international community managed to mobilize significant resources and coordinate efforts to counter ISIS. This experience provided important lessons for future diplomatic efforts to counter transnational threats and underscored the need for continued vigilance and cooperation in the area of ​​international security.3.2. Evolving Diplomatic Strategies and Current State (2017-2024)The evolution of diplomatic strategies and the current state of international relations from 2017 to 2024 presents a fascinating and complex picture of global change. This period of time was marked by significant shifts in world politics that had a profound impact on diplomatic approaches and methods of interaction between states.The beginning of the period under review coincided with the rise of the Donald Trump administration in the United States, which led to a significant revision of the foreign policy course of one of the world's leading powers. The "America First" approach and the tendency to unilateral action necessitated the adaptation of diplomatic strategies in many countries. Traditional US allies in Europe and Asia were faced with the need to rethink their relations with Washington and seek new forms of international cooperation.At the same time, China's influence on the world stage was growing, which led to an intensification of geopolitical rivalry between Beijing and Washington. The Belt and Road Initiative has become a prime example of a new form of economic diplomacy that combines elements of infrastructure development and strategic influence. This has required many countries to develop more sophisticated and nuanced diplomatic approaches that balance economic interests with geopolitical considerations.The period from 2017 to 2024 has also seen the rise of technology in diplomacy. Digital diplomacy has moved from an experimental stage to a fully-fledged foreign policy tool. Social media and digital platforms have become important communication channels for leaders and diplomats, allowing them to directly reach out to international audiences. However, this trend has also led to new challenges related to disinformation and cybersecurity, requiring the development of new diplomatic strategies in the digital sphere.Climate diplomacy has gained particular importance during this period. The Paris Agreement on climate change has become a central element of international efforts to combat climate change, despite the temporary withdrawal of the United States from the agreement. The environmental agenda has become an integral part of diplomatic negotiations, influencing economic agreements and strategic partnerships.The COVID-19 pandemic that began in 2020 has had a revolutionary impact on diplomatic practices. Not only has it created an unprecedented health and economic crisis, but it has also forced diplomacy to adapt to new realities. Virtual summits and online negotiations have become the norm, opening up new opportunities for diplomatic engagement but also creating new challenges in terms of protocol and negotiation effectiveness.The period from 2021 to 2024 has been marked by attempts to restore multilateralism and international institutions. The advent of the Joe Biden administration in the United States marked the country's return to a more traditional diplomacy focused on alliances and multilateral formats. However, this process has faced difficulties related to persistent mistrust and the changed balance of power in the world.The Middle East region has continued to be an arena for complex diplomatic maneuvers. The Abraham Accords signed in 2020 opened a new chapter in relations between Israel and several Arab states, demonstrating the potential for transformation in regional diplomacy. However, persistent conflicts and tensions in the region continued to require ongoing diplomatic attention and innovative approaches to resolution.By 2024, global diplomacy faced the need to adapt to a new multipolar reality. Traditional centers of power faced the growing influence of regional powers and non-state actors. This led to a more complex and dynamic diplomatic environment that required flexibility, innovation, and the ability to quickly adapt.In conclusion, the period from 2017 to 2024 was a time of significant transformation in the field of diplomacy. The evolution of diplomatic strategies reflected global changes in the balance of power, technological innovations, and new global challenges. Diplomacy became more multifaceted, combining traditional methods with new forms of interaction. The future of international relations will depend largely on the ability of diplomacy to adapt to these changes and find effective solutions to global problems in the context of increasing complexity and uncertainty of the world order.3.3. Prospects for Peace and Diplomatic ReconstructionThe prospects for peace and diplomatic restoration in the modern world are a complex and multifaceted topic that requires deep analysis and understanding. In the context of growing global tensions and numerous regional conflicts, the question of how to achieve sustainable peace and restore effective diplomatic relations between countries is becoming increasingly relevant.The current geopolitical situation is characterized by a number of challenges that significantly complicate the process of peaceful conflict resolution and restoration of diplomatic ties. Among them are growing rivalries between major powers, increased nationalist sentiments in many countries, economic inequality, as well as new security threats such as cyber attacks and information wars.Despite these difficulties, there are a number of factors that can contribute to the advancement of peace initiatives and diplomatic restoration. First of all, this is a growing awareness of global problems such as climate change and pandemics that require joint efforts of the entire international community. These common challenges can become the basis for resuming dialogue and cooperation even between countries with tense relations.International organizations such as the UN play an important role in the process of peace settlement and diplomatic restoration, providing a platform for dialogue and mediation. However, to increase the effectiveness of these organizations, reforms are needed that will allow them to respond more quickly and flexibly to modern challenges.One of the key aspects in achieving peace and restoring diplomatic relations is the development of a culture of dialogue and mutual understanding. This includes not only efforts at the government level, but also the active participation of civil society, academia and the business community in the processes of public diplomacy.Technological progress also opens up new opportunities for diplomatic interaction. Digital diplomacy, the use of social networks and other modern communication platforms allow for dialogue at a new level, overcoming geographical and political barriers.It is important to note that the process of peace settlement and diplomatic restoration requires a long-term approach and patience. There are no quick fixes in this area, and even small steps towards dialogue and mutual understanding can have a significant positive effect in the long term.Education and cultural exchange also play a key role in peacebuilding and restoring diplomatic relations. International exchange programs, joint educational projects and cultural events contribute to better understanding between peoples and the formation of common values.In conclusion, the prospects for peace and diplomatic restoration in the modern world, despite numerous challenges, remain real. The key to success in this area is a comprehensive approach that combines traditional diplomatic methods with innovative solutions, active participation of all sectors of society and a long-term vision. Only through joint efforts of the international community can we create the basis for sustainable peace and effective diplomatic interaction in the future.BIBLIOGRAPHYАхмедов В.М. О роли Ирана в Сирии // Официальный сайт Института Ближнего Востока. - URL: http://www.iimes.ru/?p=41035Accessed: 22.07.2024.Бекренев А. «Исламское государство» ежедневно зарабатывает на продаже нефти более $3 млн // Известия. - 2014. - № 20. - С. 8.ИГИЛ заявляет о создании «исламского халифата» в Ираке и Сирии // Вести. - 2014. - № 13. - С. 12.Колобов О.А., Шульц Э.Э. «Арабская весна»: возможные последствия для России // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2014. № 9. С. 41-49.Колобов О.А., Шульц Э.Э. «Арабская весна»: технологии «революций» // Журнал «Полития». 2014. № 1. С. 119-127.Ariel B. Report: Syria to be readmitted to Arab League // Arutz Sheva: - URL: http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/256777Accessed: 22.07.2024.Avey C.P., Desch C.M., Long D.J., Maliniak D., Peterson S., Tierney J.M. The Ivory Tower Survey // Foreign Policy. - URL: https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/01/03/the-ivory-tower-survey/Accessed: 22.07.2024.Blanga Y.U. Saudi Arabia's Motives in the Syrian Civil War. // Volume XXIV, Winter 2017, Number 4, p.45-62. - URL: https://mepc.org/journal/saudi-arabias-motives-syrian-civil-warAccessed: 22.07.2024.Barber M. Clerics in Egypt Call for Global Jihad Against Regime's Shiite Allies, Egypt Cuts Syria Ties// - URL: Syria Comments, 17 June 2013 wwwjoshualandis.com/blog/clerics-in-egypt-call-for-global-jihad-against-regimes-shiite-allies/ Accessed: 22.07.2024.China In the Middte East: the Wary Dragon. The G.C.C. Countries and China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): Curbing Their Enthusiasm? //Middle East Institute, 17 Oct. 2017. - URL: https://www.mei.edu/publications/gcc-countries-and-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-curbing-theirenthusiasmAccessed: 22.07.2024.Iran Calls on Syria to Recognize Citizens' Demands. Официальный сайт газеты NewYorkTimes. URL: http://www. nytimes. com/2011/08/28/ world/ middleeast/ 28syria.html?_r=0 Accessed: 22.07.2024/Fulton W, Wyer S. Iranian strategy in Syria. - New York, 2013. -p. 115.Orkan O. The Situation of Syrian Refugees in Neighboring Countries. Alsouria.net. Available from: https://ww.alsouria.net/content/%D9%88%D8%B6%. Accessed: 22.07.2024.Peterson U. Who are Syria's closest friends and who are its enemies? -URL: https|//isds.ee/the-foreign-policy-background-to-syrias-civil-war Accessed: 22.07.2024.Pierret, Thomas. Religion and State in Syria. CambridgeUniversityPress, 2013.Pierret, Thomas. Religion and State in Syria. CambridgeUniversityPress, 2013.Pierini M. In Search of an UE Role in the Syrian War // Carnegie Europe think tank. - URL: https://carnegieeurope.eu/2016/08/18/in-search-of-eu-role-in-syrian-war-pub-64352Accessed: 22.07.2024.Savicheva E., Faizova R. The Middle East: Transformation and New Challenges //Правоигосударство. № 1(62) 2014. Астана (Казахстан). С..81 - 83.The Syrian National Council // Carnegie Middle East Centre. - Beirut, 2013. -URL: https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/48334?lang=enAccessed: 22.07.2024.Thompson N., Shubert A. The anatomy of ISIS: How the 'Islamic State' is run, from oil to beheadings // CNN, 2015.

1. Ахмедов В.М. О роли Ирана в Сирии // Официальный сайт Института Ближнего Востока. - URL: http://www.iimes.ru/?p=41035 Accessed: 22.07.2024.
2. Бекренев А. «Исламское государство» ежедневно зарабатывает на продаже нефти более $3 млн // Известия. - 2014. - № 20. - С. 8.
3. ИГИЛ заявляет о создании «исламского халифата» в Ираке и Сирии // Вести. - 2014. - № 13. - С. 12.
4. Колобов О.А., Шульц Э.Э. «Арабская весна»: возможные последствия для России // Национальные интересы: приоритеты и безопасность. 2014. № 9. С. 41-49.
5. Колобов О.А., Шульц Э.Э. «Арабская весна»: технологии «революций» // Журнал «Полития». 2014. № 1. С. 119-127.
6. Ariel B. Report: Syria to be readmitted to Arab League // Arutz Sheva: - URL: http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/256777 Accessed: 22.07.2024.
7. Avey C.P., Desch C.M., Long D.J., Maliniak D., Peterson S., Tierney J.M. The Ivory Tower Survey // Foreign Policy. - URL: https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/01/03/the-ivory-tower-survey/ Accessed: 22.07.2024.
8. Blanga Y.U. Saudi Arabia's Motives in the Syrian Civil War. // Volume XXIV, Winter 2017, Number 4, p.45-62. - URL: https://mepc.org/journal/saudi-arabias-motives-syrian-civil-war Accessed: 22.07.2024.
9. Barber M. Clerics in Egypt Call for Global Jihad Against Regime's Shiite Allies, Egypt Cuts Syria Ties// - URL: Syria Comments, 17 June 2013 wwwjoshualandis.com/blog/clerics-in-egypt-call-for-global-jihad-against-regimes-shiite-allies/ Accessed: 22.07.2024.
10. China In the Middte East: the Wary Dragon. The G.C.C. Countries and China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): Curbing Their Enthusiasm? //Middle East Institute, 17 Oct. 2017. - URL: https://www.mei.edu/publications/gcc-countries-and-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-curbing-theirenthusiasm Accessed: 22.07.2024.
11. Iran Calls on Syria to Recognize Citizens' Demands. Официальный сайт газеты New York Times. URL: http://www. nytimes. com/2011/08/28/ world/ middleeast/ 28syria.html?_r=0 Accessed: 22.07.2024/
12. Fulton W, Wyer S. Iranian strategy in Syria. - New York, 2013. -p. 115.
13. Orkan O. The Situation of Syrian Refugees in Neighboring Countries. Alsouria.net. Available from: https://ww.alsouria.net/content/%D9%88%D8%B6%. Accessed: 22.07.2024.
14. Peterson U. Who are Syria's closest friends and who are its enemies? -URL: https|//isds.ee/the-foreign-policy-background-to-syrias-civil-war Accessed: 22.07.2024.
15. Pierret, Thomas. Religion and State in Syria. Cambridge University Press, 2013.
16. Pierret, Thomas. Religion and State in Syria. Cambridge University Press, 2013.
17. Pierini M. In Search of an UE Role in the Syrian War // Carnegie Europe think tank. - URL: https://carnegieeurope.eu/2016/08/18/in-search-of-eu-role-in-syrian-war-pub-64352 Accessed: 22.07.2024.
18. Savicheva E., Faizova R. The Middle East: Transformation and New Challenges //Право и государство. № 1(62) 2014. Астана (Казахстан). С..81 - 83.
19. The Syrian National Council // Carnegie Middle East Centre. - Beirut, 2013. -URL: https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/48334?lang=en Accessed: 22.07.2024.
20. Thompson N., Shubert A. The anatomy of ISIS: How the 'Islamic State' is run, from oil to beheadings // CNN, 2015.